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Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the week beginning July 22nd, 2019

Discussion in 'Stock Market Today' started by bigbear0083, Jul 19, 2019.

  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Here are the most notable earnings releases for the trading week beginning July 22nd, 2019-
    ($FB $AMZN $TSLA $BA $T $SNAP $PIXY $HAL $TWTR $KO $F $V $LMT $GOOGL $INTC $CAT $PYPL $BIIB $UTX $IRBT $XLNX $UPS $ABBV $CNC $NOK $CMG $MMM $RPM $SBUX $JBLU $BMY $GNC $MCD $CDNS $CADE $NOW $AMTD $HAS $HOG $ANTM $WM $CMCSA $FCX)
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    (This post will be edited later with the notable earnings details & charts)

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    Here are the most notable Highest Volatility earnings releases for the trading week beginning July 22nd, 2019-
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    Amazon.com, Inc. $1,964.52
    [​IMG]Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Thursday, July 25, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $5.29 per share on revenue of $62.51 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $5.70 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 78% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 4.34% with revenue increasing by 18.20%. Short interest has increased by 14.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 1.8% from its open following the earnings release to be 13.0% above its 200 day moving average of $1,737.93. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, July 11, 2019 there was some notable buying of 3,494 contracts of the $2,000.00 call expiring on Friday, August 16, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 4.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.0% move in recent quarters.
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    Facebook Inc. $198.36
    [​IMG]Facebook Inc. (FB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Wednesday, July 24, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.90 per share on revenue of $16.45 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $2.01 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 82% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 9.20% with revenue increasing by 24.33%. Short interest has increased by 21.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 0.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 20.8% above its 200 day moving average of $164.17. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, July 17, 2019 there was some notable buying of 16,697 contracts of the $290.00 call expiring on Friday, September 20, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 6.5% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 8.6% move in recent quarters.
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    Tesla, Inc. $258.18
    [​IMG]Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 5:15 PM ET on Wednesday, July 24, 2019. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.52 per share on revenue of $6.38 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.44) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 33% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 84.80% with revenue increasing by 59.41%. Short interest has increased by 26.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 1.2% from its open following the earnings release to be 8.1% below its 200 day moving average of $280.96. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, July 16, 2019 there was some notable buying of 30,445 contracts of the $50.00 put expiring on Friday, August 16, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 7.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.4% move in recent quarters.
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    Boeing Co. $377.36
    [​IMG]Boeing Co. (BA) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:30 AM ET on Wednesday, July 24, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.89 per share on revenue of $20.27 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.91 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 17% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 43.24% with revenue decreasing by 16.44%. Short interest has increased by 11.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 0.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.0% above its 200 day moving average of $362.82. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, July 8, 2019 there was some notable buying of 6,176 contracts of the $325.00 put expiring on Friday, August 16, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 3.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.0% move in recent quarters.
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    AT&T Corp. $32.79
    [​IMG]AT&T Corp. (T) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:50 AM ET on Wednesday, July 24, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.89 per share on revenue of $45.02 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.90 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 66% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 2.20% with revenue increasing by 15.48%. Short interest has increased by 16.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 5.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.5% above its 200 day moving average of $31.37. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, July 8, 2019 there was some notable buying of 144,398 contracts of the $28.00 call expiring on Friday, January 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 4.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 4.5% move in recent quarters.
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    Snap Inc. $14.02
    [​IMG]Snap Inc. (SNAP) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:10 PM ET on Tuesday, July 23, 2019. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.10 per share on revenue of $358.48 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.08) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 61% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $335.00 million to $360.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 9.09% with revenue increasing by 36.69%. Short interest has decreased by 3.8% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 13.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 36.9% above its 200 day moving average of $10.24. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, July 5, 2019 there was some notable buying of 7,449 contracts of the $19.00 call expiring on Friday, July 26, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 13.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 19.1% move in recent quarters.
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    ShiftPixy, Inc. $0.63
    [​IMG]ShiftPixy, Inc. (PIXY) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:00 AM ET on Monday, July 22, 2019. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.08 per share on revenue of $14.39 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 44% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 33.33% with revenue increasing by 53.48%. Short interest has decreased by 8.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 50.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 63.8% below its 200 day moving average of $1.74. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. The stock has averaged a 16.9% move on earnings in recent quarters.
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    Halliburton Company $21.75
    [​IMG]Halliburton Company (HAL) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 6:45 AM ET on Monday, July 22, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.30 per share on revenue of $5.97 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.29 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 60% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 48.28% with revenue decreasing by 2.88%. Short interest has increased by 39.2% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 31.6% from its open following the earnings release to be 25.7% below its 200 day moving average of $29.27. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, July 16, 2019 there was some notable buying of 9,264 contracts of the $20.00 put expiring on Friday, August 16, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 5.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 3.5% move in recent quarters.
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    Twitter, Inc. $36.77
    [​IMG]Twitter, Inc. (TWTR) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Friday, July 26, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.19 per share on revenue of $828.49 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.24 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 75% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for revenue of $770.00 million to $830.00 million. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 0.00% with revenue increasing by 16.60%. Short interest has increased by 9.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 0.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 10.1% above its 200 day moving average of $33.39. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, July 15, 2019 there was some notable buying of 7,151 contracts of the $60.00 call expiring on Friday, January 15, 2021. Option traders are pricing in a 10.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 12.7% move in recent quarters.
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    Visa Inc $179.24
    [​IMG]Visa Inc (V) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Tuesday, July 23, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.33 per share on revenue of $5.70 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.37 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 79% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 10.83% with revenue increasing by 8.78%. Short interest has decreased by 6.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 11.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 19.5% above its 200 day moving average of $150.03. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, July 16, 2019 there was some notable buying of 4,839 contracts of the $165.00 put expiring on Friday, August 16, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 3.1% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.6% move in recent quarters.
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    Here are the most anticipated Earnings Releases for this upcoming trading week ahead.

    ***Check mark next to the stock symbols denotes confirmed earnings release date & time***

    Monday 7.22.19 Before Market Open:
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    Monday 7.22.19 After Market Close:
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    Tuesday 7.23.19 Before Market Open:
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    Tuesday 7.23.19 After Market Close:
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    Wednesday 7.24.19 Before Market Open:
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    Wednesday 7.24.19 After Market Close:
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    Thursday 7.25.19 Before Market Open:
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    Thursday 7.25.19 After Market Close:
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    Friday 7.26.19 Before Market Open:
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    Friday 7.26.19 After Market Close:
    NONE.
     
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  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  3. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Here are the most notable earnings releases for the next 5 weeks-

    [​IMG]
     
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  4. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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  5. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Key Earnings Reports This Week -- AMZN, GOOG, FB -- 7/22-7/26
    Mon, Jul 22, 2019

    As shown in the chart below of the number of companies reporting earnings by day over the next month, the next three weeks will be the busiest of the Q2 reporting period.

    [​IMG]

    Below we've compiled a list of the most volatile large-cap companies (>$28 billion market cap) set to report earnings this week. Each of the stocks listed has historically experienced an average one-day price change of more than +/-3.25% on its past earnings reaction days. For each stock, we include its expected report date, market cap, and year-to-date performance (%). We also include its historical earnings and revenue beat rate (% of time it has beaten consensus analyst estimates) as well as the percentage of the time it has raised guidance. Finally, we show its average one-day share price reaction to earnings reports throughout history and its average absolute one-day price change (earnings volatility).

    There are no big reports scheduled for today, but tomorrow we'll hear from Texas Instruments (TXN) and Visa (V) after the close. Visa (V) has one of the strongest EPS beat rates at 95.6%. Visa has historically averaged a one-day gain of 1.07% on its earnings reaction day (which would be Wednesday this week given that it reports Tuesday after the close).

    Wednesday and Thursday will be extremely busy, led by Facebook (FB) and Tesla (TSLA) on Wednesday after the close and Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOG), and Intel (INTC) on Thursday after the close. Twitter (TWTR) reports Friday morning ahead of the open.

    Along with Visa, both Facebook (FB) and Twitter (TWTR) have historically beaten EPS estimates more than 95% of the time. Atlassian (TEAM), PayPal (PYPL), and ServiceNow (NOW) are the three stocks on the list with the strongest revenue beat rates. ServiceNow (NOW) has also raised guidance more often than any of the stocks listed.

    In terms of share price reactions, Facebook (FB) and ServiceNow (NOW) stand out as they have historically averaged a one-day gain of more than 3% following earnings. On the downside, Twitter (TWTR) has historically averaged a decline of 2.94% on its earnings reaction days. TWTR is also the most volatile of the stocks listed with an average absolute one-day change of more than 12%.

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    The stocks above are the most volatile of the large caps reporting earnings this week. Below is a list of the large caps that are the least volatile on their earnings reaction days. This list is littered with Dow 30 stocks including Coca-Cola (KO), Travelers (TRV), United Tech (UTX), Boeing (BA), 3M (MMM), and McDonald's (MCD).

    Tomorrow morning we'll hear from Biogen (BIIB), Coca-Cola (KO), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Travelers (TRV), and United Tech (UTX). On Wednesday we'll get reports from Boeing (BA), Northrop Grumman (NOC), AT&T (T), and UPS all ahead of the open. Hershey (HSY), 3M (MMM), and Raytheon (RTN) are a few of the big names reporting on Thursday, and then McDonald's (MCD) will be the biggest of the least volatile blue-chips reporting on Friday morning.

    [​IMG]
     
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  6. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Biggest Winners and Losers of Earnings Season So Far
    Mon, Jul 22, 2019

    The two charts below are available to our subscribers on our Earnings Explorer page. They show the rolling 3-month earnings and sales beat rates for US stocks reporting earnings. Monitoring these charts is a good way to track how companies are doing relative to expectations over time. As shown, the earnings beat rate has bounced a bit over the last month after trending lower over the prior 10 months dating back to the middle of 2018. The sales beat rate hasn't bounced as much, but it has stabilized around its long-term average of 56.45%.

    [​IMG]

    Last week, 123 companies reported their Q2 earnings results, and 70% of them reported stronger than expected EPS. But while the bottom-line beat rate was strong at 70%, the top-line sales beat rate was much weaker at 56%.

    The average stock that reported last week traded well in reaction to the news, gaining an average of 0.56% on its earnings reaction day. There were 20 stocks that gained more than 5%, and we have provided a snapshot of them from our website below. Seattle Genetics (SGEN) was the biggest earnings winner last week with a gain of 19.11% last Wednesday. CrowdStrike (CRWD) was the second biggest winner with a gain of 14.8% last Friday. Skechers (SKX), Gentex (GNTX), and Marten Transport (MRTN) round out the top five with one-day moves of more than 9.2%. Other notables on the list of last week's biggest earnings winners include Cintas (CTAS), Philip Morris International (PM), State Street (STT), and Union Pacific (UNP).

    [​IMG]

    Eagle Bancorp (EGBN) was last week's biggest earnings loser with a one-day decline of 26.75% on Thursday. ADTRAN (ADTN) was second worst with a decline of 23.32%, followed by Ericsson (ERIC) and Insteel Industries (IIIN). Netflix (NFLX) was the 5th biggest loser on earnings last week with its one-day drop of 10.27%. CSX and Limelight Networks (LLNW) were the other two stocks that fell more than 10%.

    [​IMG]
     
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  7. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    How Are Stock Prices Reacting to Earnings?

    In our view, how a stock reacts to its earnings report is the ultimate arbiter of how good or bad the report actually was. To get a read on the overall market, we keep track of the median one-day price change for all stocks that have reported earnings on a rolling three-month basis. Over the last three months, the median one-day price reaction to earnings has been nearly flat at -0.03%, so we'd say earnings have been "market neutral" over the last quarter.

    Below is a chart showing the rolling 3-month trend for earnings reactions over the last five years. As you can see, the trend swings from positive to negative and back to positive quite a bit, so we'd categorize this as a mean reverting indicator. Earlier this year in Q1 when the market was bouncing back from a horrific Q4 2018, stocks were trading extremely positive in reaction to earnings. In fact, we saw the highest reading over the last five years towards the end of Q1 when stocks were experiencing a median one-day price change of roughly 0.75% in reaction to their earnings reports. Since that peak, however, we've seen price reactions to earnings drift lower. At the end of June, the reading had dipped negative, meaning companies were experiencing declines more often than gains in reaction to earnings, but over the last few weeks, we've started to see price reactions improve.

    Now that we're entering the thick of the Q2 reporting period, a continued move higher for stocks reporting earnings would go a long way in causing an overall market breakokut.

    [​IMG]
     
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