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Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest & SPX Sentiment Poll (2/26-3/2)

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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How do you see the SPX closing for the week of (2/26-3/2)?

Poll closed Feb 26, 2018.
  1. Up.

    75.0%
  2. Flat. (+/-0.50% or less)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Down.

    25.0%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest for the Week of (2/26-3/2)
    (Read this first post for the Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest)


    [​IMG]

    Congrats to @stock1234 the Stockaholics Weekly Contest Winner for the Week of (2/19-2/23)!

    *Link to Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest Thread for the Week of (2/19-2/23)*

    On to the next! The Stockaholics Weekly Stock Picking Contest for the Week of (2/26-3/2) starts at the opening bell on Monday, February 26th, 2018.

    If you want to be eligible to participate in this week's contest here is what you need to do (REQUIRED!):

    • 1.) Post 2 tickers (ex. AAPL = Apple) but YOU MUST pick 2 not just 1 or else I will not add you to our list of contestants!
    • 2.) Choose either Long or Short for each ticker (Obviously LONG = if you think it will go up ... or SHORT = if you think it will go down this week)
    • 3.) Both of your picks MUST each be at least $2 at the bare minimum! If you pick something that is under $2 then your pick will not count, and you will not be entered into this week's contest!
    Contest Rules (PLEASE READ THESE AND FOLLOW THEM!):
    • 1.) No OTC or IPOs.
    • 2.) No Futures, Forex, Indexes stuff like that... Equities ONLY that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange!
    • 3.) If you don't post both the ticker AND the direction (LONG/SHORT) you won't be added to the list of contestants for this week's stock picking contest!
    • 4.) You cannot duplicate someone's exact play! For example- If someone picks AAPL - Long and BAC - Long first then you may only pick AAPL - Short and BAC - Long or AAPL - Long and BAC - Short <-- you may only duplicate 1 pick but not BOTH! This is a first come, first serve basis here!
    • 5.) Picks absolutely MUST be posted in here before the 9:30AM eastern time cash market open on the first trading day of the week!
    • 6.) You are NOT allowed to pick any leveraged ETFs (2x/3x). If you choose one, it will not count. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited!
    • 7.) RATIONALE - You may post up a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for both of your picks but they are not required. This is optional for everyone. Members who do post up a rationale for their picks will receive an additional 2 points in the members leaderboard.
    • 8.) Please DO NOT EDIT your original post with your picks! If you absolutely must choose another pick, please use a separate post and state that you are changing your original pick to something else!
    • 9.) You may choose to close out one or both of your picks at any time during the trading week. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN CLOSING PRICE(S)!We will be using the intraday 1 minute closing price using the time stamp of your post on Stockaholics for when you closed out your pick. You will need to state which pick(s) you are closing out as well as the price & the time of when you closed out. I will be confirming that your closing price is correct by looking at the 1 min. intraday chart. If it is not correct, I will then post up your correct price and input that into the live spreadsheet. If you choose to close out after the trading day is finished (after the closing bell), you will then get the next day's opening price.
    If you have any questions, feel free to ask, and if anyone sees someone else messing up, please correct them. Also, please look at your positions after I post the spreadsheets. I try to catch mistakes, in and out of my control, but need your help in making sure the information is accurate.

    Remember...the contest starts at the opening bell on Monday, February 26th!

    GLTA.

    Click the button below to view this week's contest spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the Stockaholics 2018 weekly contest winners-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the Stockaholics 2018 weekly contest winners spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Stockaholics stock picking contest members leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 weekly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This is a poll for the week of 2/26-3/2, 2018
    Expires Monday at the opening bell on: 2/26/18
    Don't forget to click the "Vote Now" button! ;)

    How does Stockaholics think the S&P500 will close the week?

    [​IMG]

    Starting point:
    [​IMG]

    **Starting point will be edited into this post after Friday close**
    *Link to Previous Weekly Poll Thread*
    Don't forget to post your vote to be listed in the 2018

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Results from the last poll (2/19-2/23)
    2,732.22
    2,747.30 +0.55%


    Stockaholics Voted
    [​IMG]


    Stockaholics wins the weekly poll tally for this past week! Credit goes to the UP votes! :cool:


    Post your Vote!
    [​IMG]


    Notes/Guidelines:
    1) For purpose of the spreadsheet record flat is currently based on +/-0.50% or less. Of course, everyone can define flat any way they choose.
    2) Up, Flat, or Down must be clearly specified in a post in order to be listed in the spreadsheet, otherwise it'll be assumed that post was not intended to be a part of the official record.
    3) Because of the poll expiration at Sunday midnight GMT time zone, (Sunday 4pm PST / 7pm EST) I manually close the poll around 9pm - midnight in PST, or before I go to bed. You may notice the poll says to expire on Monday, but it does not. It will expire on Sunday the date that is in this post.4 pm PST / 7pm EST is just a bit too early and I want to give as much possible time for everyone to get a chance to vote.
    4) You may notice that some members have monthly and quarterly statistics in the spreadsheet. I add these based on at the start of the month or quarter taking into account past consistent voter-ship.
    5) It's OK to post your vote if you missed the deadline after the poll has expired and if the market has not really moved that much or especially if your late vote is opposite or flat of the S&P futures ATM. It will be up to my discretion and obviously, the more active voters will be given more leeway.
    6) Starting and ending points based on official close of the market Friday.
    7) The primary goal of this game is to track our performance. You can consider it a contest or as a personal critiquing tool to better ones performance
    .
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Feb 11, 2018
    Last edited: Feb 25, 2018
  2. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Congratulations to this week's contest winner and 1st time winner of the weekly stock contest in 2018 (1st time winner in Q1!) -- @stock1234! :cool:

    Some worthy mentions also go out to our 2nd place winner -- @Ken34 and 3rd place winner -- @Three Eyes!

    Here was this week's final contest results:
    [​IMG]

    Here are this year's weekly contest winners & their winning picks in 2018 thus far-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete weekly contest winners & their winning picks in 2018 thus far-
    [​IMG]

    And here is the weekly contest members leaderboard as of week ending 2.23.18-
    @Ken34 is our current leader with 53 points this quarter! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    And finally here are just some members stats from the weekly stock picking contest thus far in 2018-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Stockaholics stock picking challenge leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    And finally, we have the complete weekly stock picking challenge members history which includes every pick from our active participants this year.

    Click the button below to view the 2018 weekly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]
     
    Ken34 likes this.
  3. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Post #1 Updated!
    Scores Graded!


    Click the button below to view the full 2018 Stockaholics Poll Member Voting Record-
    [​IMG]

    *Link to Previous Weekly Poll Thread*

    Stockaholics wins the weekly poll tally for this past week! Credit goes to the UP votes! :cool:

    Shout outs go out to our 4 posted UP voters for this past week!-

    @Ken34
    @Suirion
    @anotherdevilsadvocate
    @stock1234

    Special commendation goes out to our current weekly poll consecutive leaders with 2 in a row!-

    @Ken34
    @anotherdevilsadvocate

    And lastly a special commendation goes out to our current overall weekly poll percentage leader for the year with a 75.00% voting accuracy thus far in 2018!-

    @stock1234

    [​IMG]

    Here is a look at the weekly poll members voting record leaderboard as of week ending 2.23.18-
    @stock1234 is still our current leader with 32 points this quarter! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    And finally here are just some members stats from the weekly voting records thus far in 2018-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete 2018 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Whelp, that is a wrap from me this week ... and I hope you all have an awesome weekend ahead! Have fun and be safe! Cheers y'alls! :cool:

    ...and please do not forget to click in your vote on the poll & post your vote before the opening bell on Monday!!!
     
    Ken34 likes this.
  4. Three Eyes

    Three Eyes 2018 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Market - Down [I'm sticking with last week's view that markets need better consolidation lower from current prices.]

    TSLA - Down. I think TSLA at 350+ is near the top of a trading range.
    CMG - Down. Also at the top of a trading range. One almost expects a health-and-safety scare to pop up at this point.

    [Voting early b/c I expect to be out of cellular/internet range for 8 or 9 days starting tomorrow morning. Reality of the vagabond life. o_O]
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  5. Ken34

    Ken34 2017 Stock Picking Contest Winner

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    voting market up

    mu - long
    twlo - long
     
  6. Steven_Burt

    Steven_Burt Well-Known Member

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    Market - UP

    Long - ATRA

    this chart is pure hot imo:


    atra.png

    Long - DATA


    data.png
     
    #6 Steven_Burt, Feb 24, 2018
    Last edited: Feb 24, 2018
  7. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    Market DOWN,
    I think resistance at SPY 276, not ready to break over 50 ma yet.

    MNST - long
    JD - long

    MNST/SPY has an ascending triangle
    [​IMG]
    Also MNST has turned former resistances into supports
    [​IMG]
    Looking for this to get over 70.

    JD - looking for it to make new highs, over 54.
    [​IMG]
     
    bigbear0083 and Steven_Burt like this.
  8. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    market - up

    jwn - short
    panw - short

    spx - closed above the MA's; 61.8 retrace level; and near HOD on friday. looking for continuation this week.

    [​IMG]

    jwn - looking for a move back to test the lower TL of this wedge.

    [​IMG]

    panw - testing the upper TL of this up channel, tried to break out over it but failed, thinking this comes in this week.

    [​IMG]

    it is also longer term resistance on the weekly chart

    [​IMG]
     
    Steven_Burt likes this.
  9. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    stock1234 likes this.
  10. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Here is this week's contest spreadsheet in case I'm unable to get around to it later tomorrow-
    [​IMG] <-- click there to view!

    NOTE: *Ignore the current "opening prices" as those will automatically correct to tomorrow's opening prices after 9:30am eastern time.*

    Good luck to all of our participants in here for this week! :cool:

    @Three Eyes
    @Ken34
    @Steven_Burt
    @anotherdevilsadvocate
    @bigbear0083

    NOTE: I am just posting up this week's spreadsheet a little earlier than usual in here as I have a pretty busy day ahead of me for tomorrow. I will continue adding members picks up until the 9:30am eastern time opening bell tomorrow morning so don't think you are excluded from this week's contest if I haven't listed your name up right now. I just wanted to get this spreadsheet posted in here and out of the way so I don't have to worry about getting it up at a later time tomorrow. ;)
     
  11. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    I guess it depends where you anchor your Fibs. I'm presuming it overextended on the downside so don't want to anchor at the exact bottom of the spike.
    [​IMG]
    Albeit, the downside spike was not unprecedented, there was an overnight low right at that exact point a few nights before the spike. So maybe you do have the right anchor there.

    Here the futures show it
    [​IMG]

    The MACD being below 0 makes me think it has not definitively broken above the 50 ma yet.
     
    #11 anotherdevilsadvocate, Feb 25, 2018
    Last edited: Feb 25, 2018
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  12. Onepoint272

    Onepoint272 Well-Known Member

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    Market - UP - Last Thursday and Fryday was a failure of bears to capitalize on a good start to a deeper retracement; expecting a rally this week which will meet resistance on the ES-futures at 2763 to 2800 where shortening of the upward thrust could occur. The rally this coming week will likely end the up-move from ES-2529, so must be diligent to watch for stopping action as this will lead to the deeper pull-back.

    AKS - Long - retracing against a sign-of-strength - I legged into this on Fryday.

    AMC - Long - appears to be undergoing absorption prior to upcoming ER on Wednesday - I believe I want to get on board this one. It has cause built to affect a move to 37.25; 150% higher than here. The ER on Wednesday could result in a sign-of-strength needed to confirm a mark-up phase....or not.
     
    #12 Onepoint272, Feb 25, 2018
    Last edited: Feb 25, 2018
  13. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Market Up

    SPLK - Long

    WTW - Long
     
  14. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    bigbear0083 likes this.
  15. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    haha, thx @stock1234 :D

    i almost got to 70 participants this week! :eek:

    i would have been contestant #70 but i completely forgot to post my picks in there for this week lol.

    i guess that can happen when you host multiple competitions on different sites. :p

    but anyway, 69 is now my new personal record # of participants for any competition that i've ever run in my history.

    wonder if i can get to 100 next week. that would be quite the feat.
     
  16. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    closing out panw @ 168.82 @ 3:54pm eastern.
     
  17. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Midweek SPX update-

    START (2/23 CLOSE): 2,747.30
    CURRENT (2/28 CLOSE): 2,713.83 (-1.22%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Midweek weekly contest update:

    Shout out to our current leader -- @Ken34! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  18. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    closing out my JWN short at today's open.

    will post today's opening price a little later this morning.
     
  19. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    JWN 3/2 opening price: 47.85
     

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