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Stockaholics Q2 2018 Quarterly Stock Picking Contest & SPX Sentiment Poll

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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How do you see Q2 2018 closing?

Poll closed Apr 2, 2018.
  1. Up.

    14.3%
  2. Flat. (+/-1.00% or less)

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Down.

    85.7%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Stockaholics Q2 2018 Quarterly Stock Picking Contest
    (Read this first post for the Q2 2018 Quarterly Stock Picking Contest.)


    [​IMG]

    Congrats to @Three Eyes the Q1 2018 Contest Winner!

    *Link to the Q1 2018 Stock Picking Contest Thread*

    On to the next! The Q2 2018 Quarterly Stock Picking Contest starts at the opening bell on Monday, April 2nd, 2018.

    If you want to be eligible to participate in this quarter's contest here is what you need to do (REQUIRED!):
    • 1.) Post 2 tickers (ex. AAPL = Apple) but YOU MUST pick 2 not just 1 or else I will not add you to our list of contestants!
    • 2.) Choose either Long or Short for each ticker (Obviously LONG = if you think it will go up ... or SHORT = if you think it will go down this quarter)
    • 3.) Both of your picks MUST each be at least $2 at the bare minimum! If you pick something that is under $2 then your pick will not count, and you will not be entered into this quarter's contest!
    Contest Rules (PLEASE READ THESE AND FOLLOW THEM!):
    • 1.) No OTC or IPOs.
    • 2.) No Futures, Forex, Indexes stuff like that... Equities ONLY that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange!
    • 3.) If you don't post both the ticker AND the direction (LONG/SHORT) you won't be added to the list of contestants for this quarter's stock picking contest!
    • 4.) You cannot duplicate someone's exact play! For example- If someone picks AAPL - Long and BAC - Long first then you may only pick AAPL - Short and BAC - Long or AAPL - Long and BAC - Short <-- you may only duplicate 1 pick but not BOTH! This is a first come, first serve basis here!
    • 5.) Picks absolutely MUST be posted in here before the 9:30AM eastern time cash market open on the first trading day of the quarter!
    • 6.) You are NOT allowed to pick any leveraged ETFs (2x/3x). If you choose one, it will not count. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited!
    • 7.) RATIONALE - You may post up a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for both of your picks but they are not required. This is optional for everyone. Members who do post up a rationale for their picks will receive an additional 2 points in the members leaderboard.
    • 8.) Please DO NOT EDIT your original post with your picks! If you absolutely must choose another pick, please use a separate post and state that you are changing your original pick to something else!
    • 9.) You may choose to close out one or both of your picks at any time during the trading quarter. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN CLOSING PRICE(S)! We will be using the intraday 1 minute closing price using the time stamp of your post on Stockaholics for when you closed out your pick. You will need to state which pick(s) you are closing out as well as the price & the time of when you closed out. I will be confirming that your closing price is correct by looking at the 1 min. intraday chart. If it is not correct, I will then post up your correct price and input that into the live spreadsheet. If you choose to close out after the trading day is finished (after the closing bell), you will then get the next day's opening price.
    If you have any questions, feel free to ask, and if anyone sees someone else messing up, please correct them. Also, please look at your positions after I post the spreadsheets. I try to catch mistakes, in and out of my control, but need your help in making sure the information is accurate.

    Remember...the contest starts at the opening bell on Monday, April 2nd!

    GLTA.

    Click the button below to view the Q2 2018 contest spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics 2018 Quarterly contest winners-
    [​IMG]

    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics 2018 Quarterly contest winners spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Stockaholics stock picking challenge leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 quarterly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Quarterly Stockaholics SPX Sentiment Poll

    How will the S&P close out Q2 - 2018 (April - June)?

    This is a poll for Q2 - 2018 (April - June)
    Expires Monday at the opening bell on: 4/2/18
    Don't forget to click the "Vote Now" button! ;)

    [​IMG]

    Starting Point:
    [​IMG]

    **Starting point to be edited into this post after quarter close**
    *Link to Previous Quarterly Poll Thread*
    Don't forget to post your vote to be listed in the 2018

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Results from Q1 - 2018 (January - March)
    2,673.61
    2,640.87 -1.22%


    Stockaholics Voted
    [​IMG]


    No quarterly poll tally for Stockaholics in Q1. Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:


    Post your Vote!
    [​IMG]


    Notes/Guidelines:
    1) For purpose of the spreadsheet record flat is currently based on +/-1.00% or less. Of course, everyone can define flat any way they choose.
    2) Up, Flat, or Down must be clearly specified in a post in order to be listed in the spreadsheet, otherwise it'll be assumed that post was not intended to be a part of the official record.
    3) It's OK to post your vote if you missed the deadline after the poll has expired and if the market has not really moved that much or especially if your late vote is opposite or flat of the S&P futures ATM. It will be up to my discretion and obviously, the more active voters will be given more leeway.
    4) Starting and ending points based on official quarter ending close of the market.
    5) The primary goal of this game is to track our performance. You can consider it a contest or as a personal critiquing tool to better ones performance
    .
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Dec 27, 2017
    Last edited: Mar 30, 2018
  2. Steven_Burt

    Steven_Burt Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    Market - DOWN
    LONG - SGEN
    LONG - ULTA
     
  3. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    Congratulations to the Q1 contest winner and 1st time winner of the quarterly contest (1st time winner in 2018!) @Three Eyes! :cool:

    Some worthy mentions also go out to our 2nd place winner @BermudianOption and 3rd place winner @Steven_Burt!

    Here was the final contest results for Q1-
    [​IMG]

    Here are this year's quarterly contest winners & their winning picks in 2018 thus far-
    [​IMG]

    Click on the button below to view the complete Stockaholics monthly contest winners & their winning picks in 2018-
    [​IMG]

    And here is the quarterly stock picking contest members leaderboard as of quarter ending Q1-
    @Three Eyes is our current leader with 15 points this year thus far! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Stockaholics stock picking contest members leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    And finally, we have the complete quarterly stock picking contest members history which includes every pick from our active participants this year.

    Click the button below to view the 2018 quarterly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]
     
  4. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    Post #1 Updated!
    Scores Graded!


    Click the button below to view the full 2018 Stockaholics Poll Member Voting Record-
    [​IMG]

    *Link to Previous Quarterly Poll Thread*

    No quarterly poll tally for Stockaholics in Q1. Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:

    Special shout outs go out to our 4 posted DOWN voters for Q1!-

    @Timbo
    @anotherdevilsadvocate
    @bigbear0083
    @Onepoint272

    There are currently no quarterly poll consecutive leaders to mention in the members quarterly voting records as of now.

    @Timbo; @anotherdevilsadvocate; @bigbear0083; @Onepoint272 are our quarterly poll percentage leaders in 2018 with a 100.00% voting accuracy! :cool:

    Here is a look at the quarterly poll members voting record leaderboard as of quarter ending Q1-
    We have a 4-way tie between 4 members with 5 points this year thus far! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete 2018 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Whelp, that is a wrap from me this quarter... GLTA in the new quarter ahead! and I hope you all have an awesome trading quarter of Q2! Cheers y'alls! :cool:

    And please do not forget to click in your vote on the poll & post your vote before the opening bell on Monday!!!
     
  5. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    market - down

    nflx - long
    cat - long
     
  6. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Here is the Q2 2018 contest spreadsheet in case I'm unable to get around to it later tomorrow-
    [​IMG] <-- click there to view!

    NOTE: *Ignore the current "opening prices" as those will automatically correct to tomorrow's opening prices after 9:30am eastern time.*

    Good luck to all of our participants in here for Q2 2018! :cool:

    @Steven_Burt
    @bigbear0083

    NOTE: I am just posting up this quarter's spreadsheet a little earlier than usual in here as I have a pretty busy day ahead of me for tomorrow. I will continue adding members picks up until the 9:30am eastern time opening bell tomorrow morning so don't think you are excluded from this quarter's contest if I haven't listed your name up right now. I just wanted to get this spreadsheet posted in here and out of the way so I don't have to worry about getting it up at a later time tomorrow. ;)
     
  7. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Also, just a very quick heads up in here for those of you who don't venture outside of these quarterly contest threads.

    We also have our daily, weekly and monthly contest threads up and running for this upcoming week as well-

    ========================================================================================================
    ========================================================================================================
    ========================================================================================================
    ========================================================================================================
    And finally, we have our weekly mystery chart challenge thread up as well!
    ========================================================================================================

    It would be pretty awesome to see you guys also join and participate on those as well. ;)
     
  8. Ken34

    Ken34 2017 Stock Picking Contest Winner

    Joined:
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    voting market down

    mu - long
    ntnx - long
     
  9. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

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    Market DOWN - I think we don't hit bottom til August. It's not a far-away bottom though, so there'll be some up days and things won't get so bad.

    CYBR - long
    CNC - long
     
  10. ApexC

    ApexC Active Member

    Joined:
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    Market down


    MSFT -short
    PG - Long
     
  11. Three Eyes

    Three Eyes 2018 Stockaholics Contest Winner

    Joined:
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    674
    Market - down [Now that the market has gotten a taste of uncertainty, I think it'll be jittery for at least the next three months, which favors a downwards bias.]

    FEYE - Long [Will build on last quarter's rise in price and encouraging earnings announcement with another decent report this quarter.]
    VERI - Short [Another earnings play, except in reverse. This one is in free fall, nothing on the chart looks promising to me, and it will be a miracle if they report anything current owners of the stock will be happy with. I think it will challenge the all-time lows around 10 since (it IPO'd last May).]
     
  12. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

    Joined:
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    Market Down

    GG - Long

    NVDA - Short
     
  13. Onepoint272

    Onepoint272 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    Market - UP

    PANW - Long - broke out of a re-accumulation trading range 5 weeks ago and now backing up. Current price $181.52 with P&F target of $446.
    FIVE - Long - currently priced at $73.34 it is in the beginning of a mark-up phase with a P&F target of $185.

    Market Rationale:

    The base point-and-figure count for the ES-mini gives a price objective of 3750. In this current re-accumulation range it needs about 26 columns of cause so that it gives the same price objective. Over the last quarter it constructed 12 columns. Maybe it won't finish 14 by next quarter, but then it isn't necessary to have a match for price to break higher, regardless however, it is now near the low of the range. I believe probability favors a higher finish by the end of the 2nd quarter.

    upload_2018-4-1_21-31-19.png
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  14. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Q2 quarterly SPX update as of 4.30.18-

    START (3/29/18 CLOSE): 2,640.87
    CURRENT (4/30/18 CLOSE): 2,648.05 (+0.27%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Q2 quarterly contest update as of 4.30.18.

    Shout out to our current leader -- @Steven_Burt! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  15. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    Q2 quarterly SPX update as of 5.31.18-

    START (3/29/18 CLOSE): 2,640.87
    CURRENT (5/31/18 CLOSE): 2,705.27 (+2.44%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Q2 quarterly contest update as of 5.31.18.

    Shout out to our current leader -- @Steven_Burt! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     

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