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Stockaholics March 2018 Stock Picking Contest & SPX Sentiment Poll

Cy's official Stockaholics thread archives group.

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How do you see the SPX closing for the month of March 2018?

Poll closed Mar 1, 2018.
  1. Up.

    40.0%
  2. Flat. (+/-1.00% or less)

    20.0%
  3. Down.

    40.0%
  1. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Stockaholics March 2018 Stock Picking Contest
    (Read this first post for the March 2018 Stock Picking Contest.)


    [​IMG]

    Congrats to @Onepoint272 the February 2018 Contest Winner!

    *Link to the February 2018 Stock Picking Contest Thread*

    On to the next! The March 2018 Stock Picking Contest starts at the opening bell on Thursday, March 1st, 2018.

    If you want to be eligible to participate in this month's contest here is what you need to do (REQUIRED!):
    • 1.) Post 2 tickers (ex. AAPL = Apple) but YOU MUST pick 2 not just 1 or else I will not add you to our list of contestants!
    • 2.) Choose either Long or Short for each ticker (Obviously LONG = if you think it will go up ... or SHORT = if you think it will go down this month)
    • 3.) Both of your picks MUST each be at least $2 at the bare minimum! If you pick something that is under $2 then your pick will not count, and you will not be entered into this month's contest!
    Contest Rules (PLEASE READ THESE AND FOLLOW THEM!):
    • 1.) No OTC or IPOs.
    • 2.) No Futures, Forex, Indexes stuff like that... Equities ONLY that trade on the U.S. Stock Exchange!
    • 3.) If you don't post both the ticker AND the direction (LONG/SHORT) you won't be added to the list of contestants for this month's stock picking contest!
    • 4.) You cannot duplicate someone's exact play! For example- If someone picks AAPL - Long and BAC - Long first then you may only pick AAPL - Short and BAC - Long or AAPL - Long and BAC - Short <-- you may only duplicate 1 pick but not BOTH! This is a first come, first serve basis here!
    • 5.) Picks absolutely MUST be posted in here before the 9:30AM eastern time cash market open on the first trading day of the month!
    • 6.) You are NOT allowed to pick any leveraged ETFs (2x/3x). If you choose one, it will not count. If incorrect picks go un-noticed, you risk your position being forfeited!
    • 7.) RATIONALE - You may post up a rationale (either technical or fundamental) for both of your picks but they are not required. This is optional for everyone. Members who do post up a rationale for their picks will receive an additional 2 points in the members leaderboard.
    • 8.) Please DO NOT EDIT your original post with your picks! If you absolutely must choose another pick, please use a separate post and state that you are changing your original pick to something else!
    • 9.) You may choose to close out one or both of your picks at any time during the trading month. PLEASE POST YOUR OWN CLOSING PRICE(S)! We will be using the intraday 1 minute closing price using the time stamp of your post on Stockaholics for when you closed out your pick. You will need to state which pick(s) you are closing out as well as the price & the time of when you closed out. I will be confirming that your closing price is correct by looking at the 1 min. intraday chart. If it is not correct, I will then post up your correct price and input that into the live spreadsheet. If you choose to close out after the trading day is finished (after the closing bell), you will then get the next day's opening price.
    If you have any questions, feel free to ask, and if anyone sees someone else messing up, please correct them. Also, please look at your positions after I post the spreadsheets. I try to catch mistakes, in and out of my control, but need your help in making sure the information is accurate.

    Remember...the contest starts at the opening bell on Thursday, March 1st!

    GLTA.

    Click the button below to view the March 2018 contest spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics 2018 monthly contest winners-
    [​IMG]

    Click on the button below to view the Stockaholics 2018 monthly contest winners spreadsheet-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Stockaholics stock picking contest members leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 monthly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    This is a poll for the month of March 2018
    Expires Thursday at the opening bell on: 3/1/18
    Don't forget to click the "Vote Now" button! ;)

    How does Stockaholics see the outcome of the S&P for the month of March?

    [​IMG]

    Starting Point:
    [​IMG]

    **Starting point to be edited into this post after month close**
    *Link to Previous Monthly Poll Thread*
    Don't forget to post your vote to be listed in the 2018

    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Results from February 2018
    2,823.81
    2,713.83 -3.89%


    Stockaholics Voted
    [​IMG]


    Stockaholics wins the monthly poll tally for February! Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:


    Post your Vote!
    [​IMG]


    Notes/Guidelines:
    1) For purpose of the spreadsheet record flat is currently based on +/-1.00% or less. Of course, everyone can define flat any way they choose.
    2) Up, Flat, or Down must be clearly specified in a post in order to be listed in the spreadsheet, otherwise it'll be assumed that post was not intended to be a part of the official record.
    3) It's OK to post your vote if you missed the deadline after the poll has expired and if the market has not really moved that much or especially if your late vote is opposite or flat of the S&P futures ATM. It will be up to my discretion and obviously, the more active voters will be given more leeway.
    4) Starting and ending points based on official month ending close of the market.
    5) The primary goal of this game is to track our performance. You can consider it a contest or as a personal critiquing tool to better ones performance
    .
     
    #1 bigbear0083, Jan 23, 2018
    Last edited: Mar 1, 2018
  2. Three Eyes

    Three Eyes 2018 Stockaholics Contest Winner

    Joined:
    Dec 14, 2017
    Messages:
    724
    Likes Received:
    623
    [This is a provisional pick in the event I do not have cellular/internet access before Feb 28. I may change my mind if I DO end up getting a signal in the middle of the Okefenokee Swamp.]

    Market - Flat [Choppiness to continue through the month, but when all is said and done I think we'll end up about the same place.]

    CVS - Long
    UPS - Long [these are both recent weekly contest longs that failed for me. I see them as both very oversold and trying them as monthly longs this time. :D]
     
  3. Ken34

    Ken34 2017 Stock Picking Contest Winner

    Joined:
    Apr 4, 2016
    Messages:
    1,531
    Likes Received:
    632
    voting market up

    mu - long
    amd - long
     
  4. anotherdevilsadvocate

    anotherdevilsadvocate Well-Known Member

    Joined:
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    Market UP, but it may be volatile.

    MEET - long,
    reporting in March and I think it's bottomed
    IMGN - long,
    Phase 1b data due at end of March for ovarian and endometrial cancers
     
  5. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    market - flat

    i agree with marcy that this month will be volatile, but i got not real conviction in either direction. so flat +/-1% or less for the month is my call.

    dltr - long
    fdx - long

    dltr - thinking this uptrend line will hold

    [​IMG]

    fdx - looking for a run up into ER later in the month.
     
  6. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

    Joined:
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    Congratulations to the February 2018 contest winner and 1st time winner of the monthly contest (1st time winner in Q1!) @Onepoint272! :cool:

    Some worthy mentions also go out to our 2nd place winner @bigbear0083 and 3rd place winner @Three Eyes!

    Here was the final contest results for the month of February-
    [​IMG]

    Click on the button below to view the complete Stockaholics monthly contest winners & their winning picks in 2018-
    [​IMG]

    And here is the monthly stock picking contest members leaderboard as of month ending February-
    @Onepoint272 is our current leader this quarter with a total of 25 points! :cool:
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the 2018 Stockaholics stock picking contest members leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    And finally, we have the complete monthly stock picking contest members history which includes every pick from our active participants this year.

    Click the button below to view the 2018 monthly stock picking contest members records-
    [​IMG]
     
  7. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Post #1 Updated!
    Scores Graded!


    Click the button below to view the full 2018 Stockaholics Poll Member Voting Record-
    [​IMG]

    *Link to Previous Monthly Poll Thread*

    Stockaholics wins the monthly poll tally for February! Credit goes to the DOWN votes! :cool:

    Special shout outs go out to our 3 posted DOWN voters for the month of February!-

    @anotherdevilsadvocate
    @Ken34
    @bigbear0083

    There are currently no monthly poll consecutive leaders to mention in the members voting records as of now.

    Special commendation goes out to our current overall monthly poll percentage leaders for the year with an 50.00% voting accuracy thus far in 2018-

    @bigbear0083
    @Ken34
    @anotherdevilsadvocate
    @Three Eyes
    @stock1234

    Here is a look at the monthly poll members voting record leaderboard as of month ending February-
    We currently have a tie between 5 members with 6 points thus far this quarter.
    [​IMG]

    Click the button below to view the complete 2018 Poll Member Voting Record Leaderboard-
    [​IMG]

    Whelp, that is a wrap from me this month ... GLTA in the new month ahead! and I hope you all have an awesome trading month of February! Cheers y'alls! :cool:

    And please do not forget to click in your vote on the poll & post your vote before the opening bell on Thursday!!!
     
  8. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    Here is the March 2018 contest spreadsheet in case I'm unable to get around to it later tomorrow-
    [​IMG] <-- click there to view!

    NOTE: *Ignore the current "opening prices" as those will automatically correct to tomorrow's opening prices after 9:30am eastern time.*

    Good luck to all of our participants in here for March 2018! :cool:

    @Three Eyes
    @Ken34
    @anotherdevilsadvocate
    @bigbear0083

    NOTE: I am just posting up this month's spreadsheet a little earlier than usual in here as I have a pretty busy day ahead of me for tomorrow. I will continue adding members picks up until the 9:30am eastern time opening bell tomorrow morning so don't think you are excluded from this month's contest if I haven't listed your name up right now. I just wanted to get this spreadsheet posted in here and out of the way so I don't have to worry about getting it up at a later time tomorrow. ;)
     
  9. stock1234

    stock1234 2017 Stockaholics Contest Winner

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    Market Down

    ORCL - Long. Hasn't done badly but lagging its other big tech peers, I think it will play a little catchup.

    RGR - Short. Gun makers getting hammered after the Florida school shooting, I think we will see more negative press in the coming weeks.
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  10. twerpner

    twerpner Active Member

    Joined:
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    Market Up

    CRM - Long. I think they are a buyout candidate moving forward maybe by IBM on Intel. Just a hunch on Salesforce.

    SQ - Long
     
  11. Onepoint272

    Onepoint272 Well-Known Member

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    Market - Down - Appears this week will be a failed upthrust leading to test of the February lows

    MU - Short - upthrust this week of the top of the trading range should lead to test the low of range by end of March

    WEN - Long - appears to be in the latter stage of a re-accumulation trading range
     
    bigbear0083 likes this.
  12. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
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    SPX March 2018 monthly poll update as of week ending 3.2.18-

    START (2/28 CLOSE): 2,713.83
    CURRENT (3/2 CLOSE): 2,691.25 (-0.83%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    March 2018 contest update as of week ending 3.2.18-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @anotherdevilsadvocate! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  13. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    SPX March 2018 monthly poll update as of week ending 3.9.18-

    START (2/28 CLOSE): 2,713.83
    CURRENT (3/9 CLOSE): 2,786.57 (+2.68%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    March 2018 contest update as of week ending 3.9.18-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @twerpner! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  14. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    SPX March 2018 monthly poll update as of week ending 3.16.18-

    START (2/28 CLOSE): 2,713.83
    CURRENT (3/16 CLOSE): 2,752.01 (+1.41%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    March 2018 contest update as of week ending 3.16.18-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @twerpner! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     
  15. bigbear0083

    bigbear0083 Content Manager
    Staff Member

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    SPX March 2018 monthly poll update as of week ending 3.23.18-

    START (2/28 CLOSE): 2,713.83
    CURRENT (3/23 CLOSE): 2,588.26 (-4.63%)


    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    March 2018 contest update as of week ending 3.23.18-

    Shout out to our current leader -- @twerpner with only one more week left to go in the month! :cool:

    [​IMG]
     

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